Arthur Fils vs Pablo Carreno BustaCanada Masters Round of 64

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Fils A.
6-3 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Fils A.
662
Carreno Busta P.
340

Arthur Fils defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Arthur Fils came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Arthur Fils extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Fils closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaR32clayArthur Fils7-6(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fils A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fils A.Carreno Busta P.
56
Serve
21
30
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
70
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
80
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 62 days (−1.2)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.0+186 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1744
8.6Overall Elo 2001
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
8.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Fils A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%