Ignacio Buse vs Matteo BerrettiniRio de Janeiro Quarter-final

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Quarter-final
#34ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
clay
#51ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Buse I.
6-3 2-6 6-3
Berrettini M.
Buse I.
6262
Berrettini M.
3631

Ignacio Buse defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3 2-6 6-3 in the Rio de Janeiro quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Ignacio Buse extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Ignacio Buse closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechR32clayIgnacio Buse7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Buse I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Serve advantage — Berrettini M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Buse I.Berrettini M.
41
Serve
51
14
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
100
Break points won·Dominant
28
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1786
Surface ELO
6.1+4 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
73

Buse I.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 63%