Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Karolina Pliskova
CZE
Karolina Pliskova
#73WTA
1869ELO
1758Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 1st on
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
1909Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Pliskova K.
1-6 3-6
Swiatek I.
Pliskova K.
130
Swiatek I.
662

Iga Swiatek cruised past Karolina Pliskova, conceding only four games, in the Wimbledon round of 64.

Around the match

  • “To play a Czech in the first round, it's somehow not nice, especially at a Slam. We are everywhere, there's a big chance to play them because there are many of us.”

    Pliskova K.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I don't particularly know her game on grass. She has a tricky game. I can assume that on grass it's even more tricky because of the surface. She doesn't give that rhythm.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “It was quite a lot. Today I felt like it was a normal day at the office. For sure it helped with the preparation and focus.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: Iga Swiatek broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Karolina Pliskova converted 2 of 4 break points; Iga Swiatek converted 6 of 8 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.
Break points won
2/4
6/8
Break points saved
2/8
2/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07MontrealR32hardIga Swiatek7-6(6) 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayIga Swiatek4-6 6-1 6-2
2021-05-10RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-0 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pliskova K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
100
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Pliskova K.14%
Swiatek I.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pliskova K.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Grass Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.2+172 Grass Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1880
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 2080
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in GBR (58)
Country comfort
6.6Won 77% in GBR (26)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Even
96
92

Pliskova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 35%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-3
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.[9]
4-63-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kessler M.
6-17-69
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
6-26-0
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
7-651-64-6
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-62-6
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
5-70-6
Siniakova K.[32]
Bartunkova N.
2-64-6
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.[5]
4-67-56-4
Pegula J.[4]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-666-1
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-612-6
Alexandrova E.[18]
Tararudee L.
7-57-5
Maria T.
Jovic I.[16]
1-62-6
Bencic B.[11]
Wang X.
7-56-0
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
4-66-36-78
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
5-73-6
Sierra S.
Gauff C.[7]
3-66-36-77
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-3
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
1-60-6
Navarro E.[23]
Selekhmeteva O.
3-66-46-1
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.[12]
7-653-63-6
Paolini J.[13]
Golubic V.
7-606-4
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
3-66-06-77
Eala A.[29]
Joint M.
3-66-26-0
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-63-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Kenin S.
6-24-67-63
Swan K.
Keys M.[26]
1-64-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Birrell K.
6-36-4
Osorio C.
Noskova L.[9]
3-66-42-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Samsonova L.
4-66-42-6
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
5-73-6
Mertens E.[25]
Timofeeva M.
2-66-36-0
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.[2]
1-62-6
Sabalenka A.[1]
Ostapenko J.
6-46-4
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.[14]
1-63-6
Muchova K.[10]
Sawangkaew M.
6-27-61
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
3-65-7
Pegula J.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-16-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Jovic I.[16]
3-66-34-6
Bencic B.[11]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-44-67-66
Liu C.
Gauff C.[7]
3-67-652-6
Snigur D.
Krueger A.
3-62-6
Navarro E.[23]
Kostyuk M.[12]
2-66-41-6
Paolini J.[13]
Sakkari M.
6-16-2
Eala A.[29]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-696-2
Anisimova A.[6]
Keys M.[26]
6-32-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Noskova L.[9]
6-23-66-79
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.[21]
6-46-734-6
Mertens E.[25]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-646-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[14]
2-66-72
Muchova K.[10]
Krejcikova B.
7-55-76-3
Pegula J.[4]
Jovic I.[16]
4-66-36-1
Bencic B.[11]
Gauff C.[7]
6-43-64-6
Krueger A.
Kostyuk M.[12]
4-64-6
Paolini J.[13]
Eala A.[29]
6-44-66-3
Keys M.[26]
Noskova L.[9]
4-66-72
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.[25]
4-64-6
Osaka N.[14]
Muchova K.[10]
6-744-6
Pegula J.[4]
Gauff C.[7]
6-43-63-6
Kostyuk M.[12]
Paolini J.[13]
6-36-2
Noskova L.[9]
Mertens E.[25]
6-37-5
Muchova K.[10]
Gauff C.[7]
6-21-67-610
Kostyuk M.[12]
Noskova L.[9]
4-64-6
Muchova K.[10]
Noskova L.[9]
2-67-53-6