Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee — Wimbledon Round of 64
Alexandrova E.
Ekaterina Alexandrova faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Ekaterina Alexandrova holds the paper edge — ranked #19, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 160-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Alexandrova E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Ekaterina Alexandrova comes in with 4 days of rest and 89 games in 14d, vs Lanlana Tararudee's 9 and 33.
- Last match: Ekaterina Alexandrova dropped just 6 games past Panna Udvardy.
- Last match: Lanlana Tararudee edged Lilli Tagger in three tight sets (7–6 5–7 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAlexandrova E.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Tararudee L.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.