Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva JovicWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#18WTA
1844ELO
1739Grass ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 2nd on
#16WTA
1906ELO
1798Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.8MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Alexandrova E.
3-6 6-3 4-6
Jovic I.
Alexandrova E.
3641
Jovic I.
6362

Iva Jovic defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 victory. Jovic converted 56% of her break points, securing five service breaks to Alexandrova's four, despite a lower first-serve win percentage and fewer aces. The win moves Jovic forward in the tournament.

Key context

  • Match story: Iva Jovic closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
95
Break points won·Even
95
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
92
Tiebreaks·
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Alexandrova E.30%
Jovic I.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jovic I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1730
Surface ELO
5.8+67 Grass Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1906
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.7Won 62% in United Kingdom (21)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
61
76

Alexandrova E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Jovic I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw