Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana ShnaiderNingbo Semi-final

Ningbo · WTA · Semi-final
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Alexandrova E.
6-3 6-4
Shnaider D.
Alexandrova E.
662
Shnaider D.
340

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4 in the Ningbo semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 32. Ekaterina Alexandrova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18MonterreyFhardDiana Shnaider6-3 4-6 6-4
2025-03-31CharlestonR16clayEkaterina Alexandrova6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Shnaider D.
52
Serve
41
42
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
93
Break points saved·Even
94
94
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1800
Surface ELO
5.3+33 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1891
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
92

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Shnaider D.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%