Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Jaqueline Cristian
ROU34
Jaqueline Cristian
#37WTA
1834ELO
1803Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
Ekaterina Alexandrova
RUS11
Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Cristian J.
6-3 4-6 7-6
Alexandrova E.
Cristian J.
64772
Alexandrova E.
36651

Jaqueline Cristian defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 4-6 7-6 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 64. Jaqueline Cristian extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR32hardJaqueline Cristian6-4 6-4
2025-10-20TokyoR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-1 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Cristian J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cristian J.Alexandrova E.
22
Serve
52
25
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cristian J.Alexandrova E.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cristian J.Alexandrova E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
94
Break points won·Dominant
71
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cristian J.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Alexandrova E.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+4 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1800
4.6Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1844
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.5
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cristian J.Alexandrova E.
Freshness·
—
88

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-24-66-3
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.[13]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Muchova K.[13]
Mboko V.[10]
7-57-65
Sabalenka A.[1]
Baptiste H.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
2-66-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.[12]
6-31-66-3
R16
Muchova K.[13]
Eala A.[31]
6-06-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Cristian J.[34]
6-46-1
Mboko V.[10]
Andreeva M.[8]
7-644-66-0
Baptiste H.
Ostapenko J.[25]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Cirstea S.
6-43-66-2
Bencic B.[12]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-2
Rybakina E.[3]
Gibson T.
6-26-2
R32
Ostapenko J.[25]
Paolini J.[7]
5-76-27-5
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
3-66-06-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mcnally C.
6-46-2
Eala A.[31]
Linette M.
6-37-62
Cirstea S.
Mertens E.[21]
6-36-2
Cristian J.[34]
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-34-67-65
Andreeva M.[8]
Bouzkova M.[32]
7-646-2
Anisimova A.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[23]
Keys M.[15]
4-66-26-4
Mboko V.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-17-5
Gibson T.
Jovic I.[18]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[13]
Boulter K.
6-37-5
Bencic B.[12]
Shnaider D.[20]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[27]
6-36-4
Baptiste H.
Svitolina E.[9]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[26]
6-26-2
R64
Shnaider D.[20]
Valentova T.
7-677-63
Pegula J.[5]
Jones F.
6-13-0
Boulter K.
Tauson C.[17]
6-746-41-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Bucsa C.[30]
6-23-2
Bouzkova M.[32]
Jacquemot E.
6-26-2
Linette M.
Swiatek I.[2]
1-67-56-3
Zheng Q.[23]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[13]
Osorio C.
4-66-27-5
Kostyuk M.[27]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[7]
Townsend T.
6-31-66-2
Cirstea S.
Noskova L.[14]
6-23-66-4
Parks A.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-36-3
Mcnally C.
Wang X.[29]
6-41-66-0
Anisimova A.[6]
Tomljanovic A.
6-15-76-4
Ostapenko J.[25]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[11]
Tagger L.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Osaka N.[16]
7-56-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Li A.
7-656-4
Eala A.[31]
Siegemund L.
6-766-36-3
Cristian J.[34]
Stearns P.
6-47-5
Svitolina E.[9]
Jones E.
6-26-4
Fernandez L.[26]
Selekhmeteva O.
7-613-66-1
Mertens E.[21]
Kalieva E.
6-26-0
Keys M.[15]
Ruse E.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Zakharova A.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
3-66-17-5
Mboko V.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-26-0
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-37-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Kessler M.
6-16-736-1
Bencic B.[12]
Sonmez Z.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
3-66-46-3
Jovic I.[18]
Badosa P.
6-26-1
R128
Tomljanovic A.
Waltert S.
6-36-4
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
6-46-4
Putintseva Y.
Tjen J.
3-66-36-4
Gibson T.
Bejlek S.
6-16-0
Mcnally C.
Masarova R.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Semenistaja D.
6-46-1
Tagger L.
Seidel E.
6-786-47-5
Jones E.
Fruhvirtova L.
3-67-637-64
Cirstea S.
Zhang S.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Williams V.
7-57-5
Sonmez Z.
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-2
Stearns P.
Golubic V.
7-666-4
Li A.
Birrell K.
6-22-66-3
Townsend T.
Sun L.
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Lys E.
6-16-4
Jacquemot E.
Vidmanova D.
6-757-57-5
Linette M.
Gracheva V.
2-66-26-0
Badosa P.
Sasnovich A.
7-56-3
Kalieva E.
Galfi D.
6-36-757-65
Boulter K.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-696-4
Baptiste H.
Maria T.
7-56-2
Kessler M.
Frech M.
2-66-46-2
Yastremska D.
Krueger A.
2-66-47-5
Blinkova A.
Kenin S.
3-66-16-3
Selekhmeteva O.
Arango E.
6-34-66-3
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
7-57-63
Rakhimova K.
Sierra S.
6-16-3
Parks A.
Kraus S.
7-57-64
Valentova T.
Volynets K.
6-26-4
Zakharova A.
Bondar A.
5-76-36-1
Osorio C.
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Brady J.
6-46-2