Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline CristianTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#37WTA
1834ELO
1803Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Alexandrova E.
6-1 6-2
Cristian J.
Alexandrova E.
662
Cristian J.
120

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jaqueline Cristian came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Ekaterina Alexandrova claimed a first win over Jaqueline Cristian in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR32hardJaqueline Cristian6-3 4-6 7-6(5)
2026-01-12AdelaideR32hardJaqueline Cristian6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Cristian J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Cristian J.
52
Serve
22
42
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
84
Break points won·Dominant
98
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1800
Surface ELO
4.9+4 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1834
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.7
Minutes 14d
3.6
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%