Jessica Pegula vs Iva JovicDubai Round of 16

Dubai · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.4MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Pegula J.
6-4 6-2
Jovic I.
Pegula J.
662
Jovic I.
420

Jessica Pegula defeated Iva Jovic 6-4 6-2 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-05WimbledonR16grassJessica Pegula4-6 6-3 6-1
2026-03-30CharlestonSFclayJessica Pegula6-4 5-7 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Jovic I.

Jovic I.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Jovic I.
68
Serve
40
73
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
91
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.0+211 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1847
8.1Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1906
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
8.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
86

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Jovic I.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw