Katerina Siniakova vs Iva Jovic — Wuhan Round of 16

Wuhan · WTA · Round of 16
Katerina Siniakova
CZE
Katerina Siniakova
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
Iva Jovic
USA
Iva Jovic
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.4MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Siniakova K.
7-5 6-3
Jovic I.
Siniakova K.
762
Jovic I.
530

Katerina Siniakova defeated Iva Jovic 7-5 6-3 in the Wuhan round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iva Jovic came in ranked #16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Jovic I.

Jovic I.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Jovic I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Jovic I.
21
Serve
40
64
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Siniakova K.Jovic I.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Siniakova K.Jovic I.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
95
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
92
Tiebreaks·
90
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Siniakova K.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Jovic I.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1807
Surface ELO
5.1+40 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1906
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
5.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Siniakova K.Jovic I.
Freshness·Clear edge
95
81

Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Jovic I.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[3]
Pegula J.[6]
6-47-5
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Paolini J.[7]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-47-62
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[7]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-16-2
Pegula J.[6]
Siniakova K.
2-66-06-3
Gauff C.[3]
Siegemund L.
6-36-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[8]
6-36-3
R16
Paolini J.[7]
Tauson C.[10]
3-66-13-1
Siegemund L.
Frech M.
6-47-62
Pegula J.[6]
Alexandrova E.[9]
7-53-66-3
Siniakova K.
Jovic I.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[8]
Noskova L.
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Samsonova L.[16]
6-36-2
Gauff C.[3]
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Bencic B.[13]
7-626-4
R32
Bencic B.[13]
Mertens E.
W/O
Frech M.
Muchova K.[12]
7-614-1
Samsonova L.[16]
Kenin S.
3-66-36-1
Noskova L.
Osaka N.[11]
7-626-3
Siniakova K.
Joint M.
6-36-1
Jovic I.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[7]
Yuan Y.
3-66-46-3
Gauff C.[3]
Uchijima M.
6-16-0
Zhang S.
Cirstea S.
6-43-66-4
Siegemund L.
Andreeva M.[5]
6-746-36-3
Rybakina E.[8]
Cristian J.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sramkova R.
4-66-36-1
Alexandrova E.[9]
Li A.
7-656-2
Pegula J.[6]
Baptiste H.
6-44-67-66
Tauson C.[10]
Ruzic A.
6-46-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Bouzkova M.
6-16-1
R64
Alexandrova E.[9]
Mboko V.
6-36-2
Li A.
Raducanu E.
6-14-1
Yuan Y.
Bronzetti L.
7-627-61
Cirstea S.
Ostapenko J.
6-02-1
Siegemund L.
Yastremska D.
7-54-64-1
Baptiste H.
Krueger A.
2-66-46-2
Frech M.
Kudermetova V.
6-32-66-3
Joint M.
Zhu L.
7-57-610
Siniakova K.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-46-4
Muchova K.[12]
Kostyuk M.
2-66-26-4
Sramkova R.
Kalinskaya A.
6-23-66-3
Uchijima M.
Wang X.
6-47-63
Mertens E.
Kudermetova P.
7-656-3
Bencic B.[13]
Vekic D.
6-26-2
Tauson C.[10]
Danilovic O.
6-37-5
Ruzic A.
Linette M.
6-26-3
Zhang S.
Navarro E.[14]
6-22-66-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Gracheva V.
7-606-2
Noskova L.
Putintseva Y.
6-44-67-62
Samsonova L.[16]
Arango E.
6-17-5
Kenin S.
Zakharova A.
3-67-656-3
Bouzkova M.
Osorio C.
6-36-4
Cristian J.
Kessler M.
6-766-06-3
Osaka N.[11]
Fernandez L.
4-67-56-3