Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia KeninBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Alexandrova E.
7-6 6-3
Kenin S.
Alexandrova E.
7762
Kenin S.
6230

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Sofia Kenin 7-6 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19. Ekaterina Alexandrova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20TokyoQFhardSofia Kenin6-0 2-6 7-6(3)
2024-10-07WuhanR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-1 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Kenin S.
52
Serve
13
42
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
49%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
65
66
Break points saved·Even
94
92
Break points won·Clear edge
98
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
61
54
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 69 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.5+141 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1659
6.4Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1694
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.5
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
91

Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kenin S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw