Sofia Kenin vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · WTA · Quarter-final
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Kenin S.
6-0 2-6 7-6
Alexandrova E.
Kenin S.
62772
Alexandrova E.
06631

Sofia Kenin defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-0 2-6 7-6 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Sofia Kenin claimed a first win over Ekaterina Alexandrova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardEkaterina Alexandrova7-6(2) 6-3
2024-10-07WuhanR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-1 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Alexandrova E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kenin S.Alexandrova E.
13
Serve
52
0
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
66
65
Break points saved·Even
92
94
Break points won·Clear edge
85
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
54
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
6.5+141 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1844
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.2
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
2.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
88

Kenin S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Alexandrova E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%