Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka — Wimbledon Round of 16

WimbledonR16GrassSun 5 Jul · 17:30Final

Naomi Osaka advanced to the quarterfinals of Wimbledon with a 6-2, 7-6 victory over Aryna Sabalenka in the Round of 16. Osaka served effectively, producing 8 aces and winning 87% of her first-serve points, while also converting two of four break-point chances. Sabalenka was unable to capitalize on any of her four break-point opportunities.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Osaka N. took it in straight sets, with two breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of serveOsaka N. 2 · Sabalenka A. 0
  • AcesOsaka N. 8 · Sabalenka A. 5
  • Double faultsOsaka N. 1 · Sabalenka A. 1

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 11–2BreakOsaka N. · Broke, never broken back
Serve flowSabalenka A. broken twice · Osaka N. unbroken.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Sabalenka A.
8/10Osaka N.
10/10
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Whole matchSabalenka A.Osaka N.
EvenSabalenka A.Osaka N.
Late momentumOsaka N.46
5Last 12 points7
6Last 3 games9
0/2Break points2/4

Break of serve

Match statistics

Sabalenka A.Osaka N.
Serve
  • 5Aces8
  • 1Double faults1
  • 80% · 8/10Service games held100% · 10/10
Return
  • 0%Break points won50%
  • 0Breaks of serve2

Common opponents

12 shared · last 12 months
All 12 opponents →

Sabalenka A. and Osaka N. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sabalenka A. went 13–3 (81%) against them, Osaka N. 11–3 (79%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).

13–381%Sabalenka A. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents11–379%Osaka N. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
29–8Sets22–9
207–146Games167–113
3–1Tiebreaks2–2
2–3Deciding sets3–1
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Head-to-head

5 meetings · Sabalenka A. leads 3–2
Full H2H →
32

Grass: Osaka N. leads 1–0 · Clay: Sabalenka A. leads 2–0 · Hard: level 1–1

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match
Sabalenka A.Osaka N.2 266ELO2 1251 736Grass ELO1 6347–3Last 107–328Age28182 cmHeight180 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $53.2M2026 $8.0MEarningsCareer $27.1M2026 $2.5M

Match info

  • Started17:30 local

Cite this

Naomi Osaka beat Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-7. Umpiry, "Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka — Wimbledon Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-07-05/osaka-vs-sabalenka-wimbledon-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 July 2026).