Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka — Madrid Round of 16

Madrid · WTA · Round of 16
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2116Clay ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
JPN
Naomi Osaka
[14]
#16WTA
1956ELO
1851Clay ELO
$674kYTD
$25MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLLW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Osaka N.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.8+266 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1851
8.8Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1956
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.9
Surface form
7.5
10.015-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
61662
Osaka N.
77321

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.84
SlowFast

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR16hardNaomi Osaka6-3 2-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Osaka N.
65%1st serve in+6%59%
74%1st serve points won+3%71%
55%2nd serve points won+6%49%
67%Service points won+5%62%
44%Return points won44%
70%Break points saved+14%56%
5.2Aces / match+1.26.4
1.8Double faults / match+0.72.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Kostyuk M.[26]
Andreeva M.[9]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Kostyuk M.[26]
Potapova A.
6-21-66-1
Andreeva M.[9]
Baptiste H.[30]
6-47-68
Quarter-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Fernandez L.[24]
7-616-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-27-66
Potapova A.
Pliskova K.
6-16-746-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Noskova L.[13]
7-616-0
R16
Fernandez L.[24]
Li A.[31]
6-36-2
Baptiste H.[30]
Bencic B.[11]
6-16-7146-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Mcnally C.
6-26-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Bondar A.
6-756-37-65
Noskova L.[13]
Gauff C.[3]
6-41-67-65
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[14]
6-716-36-2
Potapova A.
Rybakina E.[2]
7-686-4
Pliskova K.
Sierra S.
6-46-3
R32
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.[29]
6-16-4
Osaka N.[14]
Kalinina A.
6-16-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Jovic I.[15]
3-66-36-2
Li A.[31]
Swiatek I.[4]
7-642-63-0
Potapova A.
Ostapenko J.[21]
4-66-46-4
Baptiste H.[30]
Paolini J.[8]
7-56-3
Gauff C.[3]
Cirstea S.[25]
4-67-56-1
Bencic B.[11]
Shnaider D.[18]
6-27-66
Rybakina E.[2]
Zheng Q.[32]
4-66-46-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-4
Sierra S.
Sonmez Z.
0-66-26-3
Noskova L.[13]
Samsonova L.[20]
W/O
Mcnally C.
Siniakova K.
6-32-67-62
Bondar A.
Samson L.
7-636-1
Andreeva M.[9]
Galfi D.
6-36-2
Pliskova K.
Mertens E.[19]
7-52-67-63
R64
Fernandez L.[24]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[8]
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-47-66
Osaka N.[14]
Osorio C.
6-27-5
Siniakova K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-36-4
Andreeva M.[9]
Udvardy P.
7-56-2
Cristian J.[29]
Starodubtseva Y.
3-67-656-4
Mertens E.[19]
Eala A.
6-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
7-56-3
Li A.[31]
Parks A.
6-26-756-3
Swiatek I.[4]
Snigur D.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Zhang S.
6-36-1
Ostapenko J.[21]
Waltert S.
6-27-5
Samson L.
Wang X.[28]
2-66-36-0
Shnaider D.[18]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-1
Mcnally C.
Mboko V.[10]
6-46-1
Jovic I.[15]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Noskova L.[13]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Sonmez Z.
Bucsa C.[27]
6-16-746-2
Gauff C.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-36-0
Zheng Q.[32]
Kenin S.
1-66-36-3
Galfi D.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[5]
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Kalinina A.
Bouzkova M.[23]
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
4-66-37-5
Bencic B.[11]
Marcinko P.
6-46-2
Sierra S.
Frech M.[34]
6-26-4
Kostyuk M.[26]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.[20]
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Baptiste H.[30]
Quevedo K.
6-16-4
Cirstea S.[25]
Grant T.
6-27-65
R128
Sonmez Z.
Martinez Cirez C.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Kraus S.
2-66-16-4
Zhang S.
Lys E.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Valentova T.
6-44-66-3
Grant T.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2
Tjen J.
Charaeva A.
6-46-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Parks A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Udvardy P.
Birrell K.
6-41-66-1
Waltert S.
Oliynykova O.
7-56-0
Snigur D.
Kasatkina D.
6-33-67-613
Starodubtseva Y.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Osorio C.
Zakharova A.
6-06-3
Quevedo K.
Williams V.
6-26-4
Linette M.
Montgomery R.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Gibson T.
6-36-2
Galfi D.
Tomljanovic A.
7-676-4
Boulter K.
Townsend T.
6-46-2
Samson L.
Maria T.
6-46-2
Kenin S.
Krueger A.
7-626-4
Jeanjean L.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-1
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-25-76-2
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
6-34-66-0
Grabher J.
Badosa P.
7-634-66-0
Sierra S.
Yastremska D.
7-6107-68
Marcinko P.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-07-5
Siegemund L.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Eala A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Bondar A.
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Siniakova K.
Kalieva E.
6-36-4
Stearns P.
Boisson L.
6-16-3