Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka — Roland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 16
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2240ELO
2116Clay ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWWWW
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Sets
Monday, 1 June 2026 ·
clay
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#16WTA
1956ELO
1851Clay ELO
$674kYTD
$25MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWWL

Aryna Sabalenka faces Naomi Osaka in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. Aryna Sabalenka holds the paper edge — ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Osaka N.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+266 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Clay Elo 1851
8.5Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1956
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.5Won 76% in FRA (33)
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
0.68
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-7(1) 6-3 6-2
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR16hardNaomi Osaka6-3 2-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Osaka N.
65%1st serve in+6%59%
74%1st serve points won+2%72%
56%2nd serve points won+6%50%
68%Service points won+5%63%
43%Return points won+1%44%
70%Break points saved+8%62%
5.4Aces / match+1.46.8
2Double faults / match+0.32.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Jacquemot E.
4-63-6
Kasatkina D.
Sonmez Z.
6-46-4
Bandecchi S.
Bucsa C.
6-42-66-4
Jovic I.
Eala A.
6-46-2
Navarro E.
Tjen J.
6-46-3
Vekic D.
Tubello A.
6-36-2
Siegemund L.
Osaka N.
3-66-73
Mboko V.
Bartunkova N.
6-16-2
Waltert S.
Siniakova K.
4-66-74
Ruzic A.
Krueger A.
3-66-26-2
Vandewinkel H.
Keys M.
3-60-6
Shnaider D.
Zarazua R.
6-46-1
Guo H.
Kessler M.
6-46-715-7
Pridankina E.
Oliynykova O.
1-62-6
Birrell K.
Pegula J.
1-66-36-3
Gauff C.
Townsend T.
6-46-0
Galfi D.
Sherif M.
5-74-6
Urhobo A.
Boulter K.
4-66-44-6
Joint M.
Potapova A.
1-62-6
Kalinskaya A.
Boisson L.
6-26-2
Korneeva A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Putintseva Y.
6-44-61-6
Osorio C.
Alexandrova E.
6-26-4
Noskova L.
Sakkari M.
5-76-73
Liu C.
Uchijima M.
3-66-04-1
Chwalinska M.
Zheng Q.
6-46-0
Maria T.
Mertens E.
5-70-6
Li A.
Zhang S.
6-46-2
Kalinina A.
Parry D.
6-02-64-6
Grabher J.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Anisimova A.
3-61-6
Svitolina E.
Bondar A.
3-66-17-63
Quevedo K.
Jeanjean L.
7-657-62
Sorribes Tormo S.
Korpatsch T.
4-62-6
Tagger L.
Wang X.
3-66-34-6
Tauson C.
Snigur D.
6-35-72-6
Kenin S.
Stearns P.
3-63-6
Tomljanovic A.
Mcnally C.
6-36-753-6
Kraus S.
Bencic B.
2-63-6
Kostyuk M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-26-3
Volynets K.
Burel C.
6-36-1
Udvardy P.
Golubic V.
0-62-6
Parks A.
Fernandez L.
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.
Seidel E.
6-46-4
Valentova T.
Linette M.
7-54-66-79
Bejlek S.
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Jones E.
Swiatek I.
1-62-6
Andreeva M.
Ferro F.
6-36-3
Bassols Ribera M.
Arango E.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Haddad Maia B.
1-67-646-2
Bronzetti L.
Bouzkova M.
3-61-6
Samsonova L.
Teichmann J.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Ruse E.
7-652-1
Rakhimova K.
J. Cristian
6-34-66-4
Zakharova A.
Muchova K.
5-72-6
Paolini J.
Yastremska D.
7-56-3
Raducanu E.
Sierra S.
0-66-74
Marcinko P.
Lys E.
3-60-6
Efremova K.
Cirstea S.
3-61-6
Baptiste H.
Krejcikova B.
6-777-666-2
Kovinic D.
Wang X.
3-61-6
Blinkova A.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-61-6
Erjavec V.
Rybakina E.
2-62-6
Sabalenka A.
Jacquemot E.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.
Bandecchi S.
7-57-611
Jovic I.
Navarro E.
6-06-3
Vekic D.
Osaka N.
6-714-6
Mboko V.
Siniakova K.
5-76-46-2
Ruzic A.
Keys M.
4-64-6
Shnaider D.
Kessler M.
7-636-1
Oliynykova O.
Birrell K.
6-30-67-65
Gauff C.
Sherif M.
6-36-2
Boulter K.
Potapova A.
7-54-62-6
Kalinskaya A.
Korneeva A.
7-626-4
Putintseva Y.
Osorio C.
5-77-665-7
Sakkari M.
Liu C.
6-776-36-3
Chwalinska M.
Mertens E.
6-46-0
Li A.
Parry D.
3-64-6
Grabher J.
Anisimova A.
0-6
Svitolina E.
Quevedo K.
6-06-4
Korpatsch T.
Wang X.
6-22-66-3
Snigur D.
Stearns P.
4-60-6
Mcnally C.
Bencic B.
4-60-6
Kostyuk M.
Volynets K.
6-746-36-3
Golubic V.
Parks A.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.
Linette M.
2-66-22-6
Bejlek S.
Swiatek I.
2-63-6
Andreeva M.
Bassols Ribera M.
3-66-16-1
Jones F.
Bouzkova M.
0-66-73
J. Teichmann
Frech M.
7-56-4
Rakhimova K.
Muchova K.
2-62-6
Paolini J.
Sierra S.
6-34-63-6
Lys E.
Cirstea S.
3-60-6
Baptiste H.
X. Wang
4-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Rybakina E.
3-66-17-64
Sabalenka A.
Kasatkina D.
6-07-5
Jovic I.
Osaka N.
6-757-634-6
Mboko V.
Keys M.
3-67-55-7
Shnaider D.
Oliynykova O.
7-56-1
Gauff C.
Potapova A.
6-46-714-6
Kalinskaya A.
Osorio C.
6-30-66-2
Sakkari M.
Chwalinska M.
6-13-62-6
Parry D.
Anisimova A.
6-34-67-63
Svitolina E.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Bencic B.
3-63-6
Kostyuk M.
Golubic V.
6-46-3
Linette M.
Swiatek I.
4-64-6
Andreeva M.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-2
J. Teichmann
Muchova K.
6-17-5
Sierra S.
Cirstea S.
0-60-6
X. Wang
Starodubtseva Y.
6-37-5
Sabalenka A.
Osaka N.
Keys M.
Shnaider D.
Potapova A.
Kalinskaya A.
Chwalinska M.
Parry D.
Svitolina E.
Bencic B.
4-61-1
Kostyuk M.
Swiatek I.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.
J. Teichmann
Cirstea S.
X. Wang
6-37-64
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