Naomi Osaka vs Aryna Sabalenka — US Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
Naomi Osaka
JPN20
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 August 2018
hard
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR26
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Osaka N.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Osaka N.
6262
Sabalenka A.
3641

Naomi Osaka defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Naomi Osaka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-05WimbledonR16grassNaomi Osaka2-6 6.2-7.7
2026-06-01Roland GarrosR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-3
2026-04-21MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-7(1) 6-3 6-2
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Sabalenka A.
70
Serve
96
60
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osaka N.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osaka N.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
98
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Osaka N.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Slight edge
82
88

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Osaka N.[20]
Williams S.[17]
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Williams S.[17]
Sevastova A.[19]
6-36-0
Osaka N.[20]
Keys M.[14]
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Williams S.[17]
Pliskova K.[8]
6-46-3
Sevastova A.[19]
Stephens S.[3]
6-26-3
Keys M.[14]
Suarez Navarro C.[30]
6-46-3
Osaka N.[20]
Tsurenko L.
6-16-1
R16
Stephens S.[3]
Mertens E.[15]
6-36-3
Sevastova A.[19]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-31-66-0
Osaka N.[20]
Sabalenka A.[26]
6-32-66-4
Tsurenko L.
Vondrousova M.
6-737-56-2
Pliskova K.[8]
Barty A.[18]
6-46-4
Suarez Navarro C.[30]
Sharapova M.[22]
6-46-3
Williams S.[17]
Kanepi K.
6-04-66-3
Keys M.[14]
Cibulkova D.[29]
6-16-3
R32
Kanepi K.
Peterson R.
6-37-63
Williams S.[17]
Williams V.[16]
6-16-2
Barty A.[18]
Muchova K.
6-36-4
Stephens S.[3]
Azarenka V.
6-36-4
Mertens E.[15]
Strycova B.[23]
6-37-64
Suarez Navarro C.[30]
Garcia C.[6]
5-76-47-64
Sharapova M.[22]
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-36-2
Keys M.[14]
Krunic A.
4-66-16-2
Cibulkova D.[29]
Kerber A.[4]
3-66-36-3
Sabalenka A.[26]
Kvitova P.[5]
7-56-1
Osaka N.[20]
Sasnovich A.
6-06-0
Vondrousova M.
Bertens K.[13]
7-642-67-61
Tsurenko L.
Siniakova K.
6-46-0
Pliskova K.[8]
Kenin S.
6-47-62
Svitolina E.[7]
Wang Q.
6-46-4
Sevastova A.[19]
Makarova K.
4-66-16-2
R64
Kanepi K.
Teichmann J.
6-46-3
Peterson R.
King V.
7-56-1
Pliskova K.[8]
Bogdan A.
6-26-3
Stephens S.[3]
Kalinina A.
4-67-56-2
Azarenka V.
Saville D.[25]
6-16-2
Mertens E.[15]
Lapko V.
6-26-0
Makarova K.
Goerges J.[9]
7-6106-3
Sevastova A.[19]
Liu C.
6-36-1
Sharapova M.[22]
Cirstea S.
6-27-5
Ostapenko J.[10]
Townsend T.
4-66-36-4
Keys M.[14]
Pera B.
6-46-1
Cibulkova D.[29]
Hsieh S.
7-634-66-4
Kvitova P.[5]
Wang Y.
7-56-3
Osaka N.[20]
Glushko J.
6-26-0
Sasnovich A.
Kasatkina D.[11]
6-27-63
Bertens K.[13]
Di Lorenzo F.
6-26-1
Vondrousova M.
Bouchard E.
6-46-3
Siniakova K.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-737-64
Tsurenko L.
Wozniacki C.[2]
6-46-2
Barty A.[18]
Safarova L.
7-56-3
Kenin S.
Sakkari M.[32]
4-66-16-4
Sabalenka A.[26]
Zvonareva V.
6-37-67
Garcia C.[6]
Puig M.
6-21-66-4
Strycova B.[23]
Arruabarrena L.
6-06-1
Wang Q.
Begu I.
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Maria T.
6-26-3
Muchova K.
Muguruza G.[12]
3-66-46-4
Williams S.[17]
Witthoeft C.
6-26-2
Kerber A.[4]
Larsson J.
6-25-76-4
Suarez Navarro C.[30]
Mladenovic K.
6-14-66-4
Williams V.[16]
Giorgi C.
6-47-5
Krunic A.
Flipkens K.
6-16-3
R128
Bouchard E.
Tan H.
6-36-1
Kalinina A.
Von Deichmann K.
1-67-605-2
Goerges J.[9]
Kalinskaya A.
6-26-756-2
Sakkari M.[32]
Muhammad A.
6-36-3
Kanepi K.
Halep S.[1]
6-26-4
Teichmann J.
Jakupovic D.
6-36-0
King V.
Vikhlyantseva N.
7-646-3
Peterson R.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
1-66-46-3
Williams S.[17]
Linette M.
6-46-0
Witthoeft C.
Dolehide C.
6-37-66
Williams V.[16]
Kuznetsova S.
6-35-76-3
Muguruza G.[12]
Zhang S.
6-36-0
Muchova K.
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Safarova L.
Martic P.
6-46-4
Barty A.[18]
Jabeur O.
6-16-3
Kenin S.
Brengle M.
6-04-67-64
Pliskova K.[8]
Diyas Z.
6-47-64
Stephens S.[3]
Rodina E.
6-17-5
Saville D.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-0
Strycova B.[23]
Lao D.
6-36-4
Makarova K.
Watson H.
6-13-66-3
Liu C.
Hercog P.
7-641-66-4
Sevastova A.[19]
Vekic D.
6-22-66-3
Wang Q.
Rybarikova M.[31]
6-26-2
Maria T.
Radwanska A.
6-36-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Vickery S.
6-31-66-1
Garcia C.[6]
Konta J.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[10]
Petkovic A.
6-44-67-5
Keys M.[14]
Parmentier P.
6-46-4
Pera B.
Putintseva Y.
7-666-4
Krunic A.
Bacsinszky T.
6-23-66-0
Flipkens K.
Vandeweghe C.[24]
6-37-63
Cibulkova D.[29]
Rus A.
4-66-26-3
Larsson J.
Cornet A.
4-66-36-2
Kerber A.[4]
Gasparyan M.
7-656-3
Kvitova P.[5]
Wickmayer Y.
6-16-4
Wang Y.
Schmiedlova A.
6-13-66-4
Sabalenka A.[26]
Collins D.
6-04-66-4
Osaka N.[20]
Siegemund L.
6-36-2
Glushko J.
Niculescu M.
3-67-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Bencic B.
2-66-16-2
Kasatkina D.[11]
Babos T.
6-45-76-4
Bertens K.[13]
Pliskova K.
6-07-5
Vondrousova M.
Barthel M.
6-16-4
Tsurenko L.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-36-2
Wozniacki C.[2]
Stosur S.
6-36-2
Puig M.
Voegele S.
6-06-0
Siniakova K.
Kontaveit A.[28]
6-736-37-5
Di Lorenzo F.
Mchale C.
6-17-61
Mertens E.[15]
Nara K.
6-26-757-5
Begu I.
Brady J.
6-36-3
Arruabarrena L.
Baindl K.
6-06-3
Mladenovic K.
Zidansek T.
6-06-3
Sharapova M.[22]
Schnyder P.
6-27-66
Cirstea S.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-33-67-5
Townsend T.
Anisimova A.
3-66-46-3
Tomljanovic A.
Cabrera L.
6-46-1
Suarez Navarro C.[30]
Gibbs N.
5-76-36-4
Azarenka V.
Hruncakova V.
6-37-5
Bogdan A.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-2
Zvonareva V.
Blinkova A.
6-26-767-5
Giorgi C.
Osuigwe W.
6-46-1
Lapko V.
Bondarenko K.
6-36-3
Hsieh S.
Alexandrova E.
6-34-66-3