

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | QF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | SF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | SF | clay | Karolina Muchova | 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-5 |
| 2019-10-22 | Zhuhai | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-6(4) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About