Karolina Muchova vs Aryna SabalenkaBeijing Quarter-final

Beijing · WTA · Quarter-final
#10WTA
2069ELO
2036Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 2036
Surface ELO
7.2+176 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 2069
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 2240
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
8.6
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
7.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Muchova K.
77262
Sabalenka A.
65641

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
0.96
SlowFast

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2023-08-14CincinnatiSFhardKarolina Muchova6-7(4) 6-3 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosSFclayKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-5
2019-10-22ZhuhaiSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-6(4)

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+1%65%
70%1st serve points won+4%74%
51%2nd serve points won+4%55%
63%Service points won+4%67%
43%Return points won43%
60%Break points saved+9%69%
2.7Aces / match+2.65.3
1Double faults / match+1.12.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw