Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaZhuhai Semi-final

Zhuhai · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 October 2019
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sabalenka A.
7-5 7-6
Muchova K.
Sabalenka A.
7772
Muchova K.
5640

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Karolina Muchova 7-5 7-6 in the Zhuhai semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2024-09-25BeijingQFhardKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 2-6 6-4
2023-08-14CincinnatiSFhardKarolina Muchova6-7(4) 6-3 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosSFclayKarolina Muchova7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Muchova K.
96
Serve
70
39
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
95
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
56

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast