Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria KasatkinaRoland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 30 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Suzanne-Lenglen · 2nd on
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-0 7-5
Kasatkina D.
Sabalenka A.
672
Kasatkina D.
050

Aryna Sabalenka won six games in a row to see off Daria Kasatkina 6-0 7-5 in the Roland Garros round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: Aryna Sabalenka broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 1: Daria Kasatkina broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Aryna Sabalenka converted 5 of 10 break points; Daria Kasatkina converted 1 of 2 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Sabalenka A.
Kasatkina D.
Break points won
5/10
1/2
Break points saved
1/2
5/10

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

72
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17BerlinR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2024-01-01BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2022-08-01San JoseQFhardDaria Kasatkina4-6 7-5 6-0
2021-04-29MadridR32clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-3
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 6-0
2019-09-30BeijingR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
58%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
56%
41%
Service points won·Clear edge
68%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
80
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+336 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1780
10.0Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1823
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.5Won 75% in FRA (32)
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in FRA (40)
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
92

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 35%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final