Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR5
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 29 April 2021
clay
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kasatkina D.
330

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-3 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–2. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

Head to head

7–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-30Roland GarrosR32clayAryna Sabalenka6-0 7-5
2024-06-17BerlinR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2024-01-01BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2022-08-01San JoseQFhardDaria Kasatkina4-6 7-5 6-0
2021-02-08Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-3
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayAryna Sabalenka7-6(6) 6-0
2019-09-30BeijingR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
80
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Even
86
89

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[5]
Barty A.[1]
6-03-66-4
Semi-finals
Barty A.[1]
Badosa P.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[5]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[5]
Mertens E.[13]
6-14-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Muchova K.
7-647-62
Barty A.[1]
Kvitova P.[9]
6-13-66-3
Badosa P.
Bencic B.[8]
6-47-5
R16
Mertens E.[13]
Halep S.[3]
4-67-57-5
Bencic B.[8]
Jabeur O.
7-624-3
Barty A.[1]
Swiatek I.[14]
7-56-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Brady J.[11]
7-56-786-3
Sabalenka A.[5]
Pegula J.
6-16-2
Muchova K.
Sakkari M.[16]
6-06-797-5
Kvitova P.[9]
Kudermetova V.
6-34-66-4
Badosa P.
Sevastova A.
6-707-636-0
R32
Badosa P.
Teichmann J.
5-76-16-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Kasatkina D.
6-36-3
Mertens E.[13]
Rybakina E.
7-647-5
Halep S.[3]
Zheng S.
6-06-4
Pegula J.
Azarenka V.[12]
W/O
Sakkari M.[16]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-1
Muchova K.
Osaka N.[2]
6-43-66-1
Barty A.[1]
Zidansek T.
6-41-66-3
Swiatek I.[14]
Siegemund L.
6-36-3
Sevastova A.
Konta J.[15]
6-36-3
Jabeur O.
Stephens S.
4-66-16-3
Brady J.[11]
Ostapenko J.
6-26-1
Kvitova P.[9]
Kerber A.
6-47-5
Bencic B.[8]
Pera B.
3-66-17-65
Kudermetova V.
Bertens K.[7]
6-46-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Pliskova K.[6]
6-07-5
R64
Kvitova P.[9]
Bouzkova M.
6-22-3
Kudermetova V.
Vesnina E.
6-16-4
Mertens E.[13]
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Sabalenka A.[5]
Zvonareva V.
6-16-2
Pegula J.
Cirstea S.
7-656-3
Azarenka V.[12]
Alexandrova E.
7-53-66-1
Rybakina E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-0
Ostapenko J.
Hercog P.
6-36-1
Pliskova K.[6]
Gauff C.
5-76-36-2
Siegemund L.
Baindl K.
6-46-2
Pera B.
Martic P.
6-36-2
Kerber A.
Vondrousova M.
7-656-1
Barty A.[1]
Rogers S.
6-26-1
Bertens K.[7]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-0
Badosa P.
Krejcikova B.
6-17-5
Sevastova A.
Bogdan A.
6-06-3
Stephens S.
Kovinic D.
6-46-1
Teichmann J.
Svitolina E.[4]
2-66-47-65
Bencic B.[8]
Mladenovic K.
6-46-2
Zheng S.
Linette M.
6-23-66-1
Halep S.[3]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-07-5
Sakkari M.[16]
Anisimova A.
0-66-16-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Keys M.
7-56-2
Kontaveit A.
Stojanovic N.
7-647-5
Muchova K.
Wang Q.
6-16-3
Osaka N.[2]
Doi M.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.
Begu I.
4-66-47-61
Jabeur O.
Shvedova Y.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[14]
Riske Amritraj A.
6-16-1
Zidansek T.
Hsieh S.
6-26-4
Konta J.[15]
Putintseva Y.
6-46-2
Brady J.[11]
Williams V.
6-26-4