Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste — Miami Quarter-final

Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
Hailey Baptiste
USA
Hailey Baptiste
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-4
Baptiste H.
Sabalenka A.
662
Baptiste H.
440

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-4 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka claimed a first win over Hailey Baptiste in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridQFclayHailey Baptiste2-6 6-2 7-6(6)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Baptiste H.
96
Serve
40
39
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Baptiste H.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
59%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Baptiste H.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
83
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Clear edge
100
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
9.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Baptiste H.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+421 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1781
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.2
Surface form
5.8
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.4
Country comfort
6.1
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Baptiste H.
Freshness·
86
—

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-24-66-3
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.[13]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Muchova K.[13]
Mboko V.[10]
7-57-65
Sabalenka A.[1]
Baptiste H.
6-46-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
2-66-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.[12]
6-31-66-3
R16
Muchova K.[13]
Eala A.[31]
6-06-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[23]
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Cristian J.[34]
6-46-1
Mboko V.[10]
Andreeva M.[8]
7-644-66-0
Baptiste H.
Ostapenko J.[25]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Cirstea S.
6-43-66-2
Bencic B.[12]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-2
Rybakina E.[3]
Gibson T.
6-26-2
R32
Ostapenko J.[25]
Paolini J.[7]
5-76-27-5
Gauff C.[4]
Parks A.
3-66-06-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mcnally C.
6-46-2
Eala A.[31]
Linette M.
6-37-62
Cirstea S.
Mertens E.[21]
6-36-2
Cristian J.[34]
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-34-67-65
Andreeva M.[8]
Bouzkova M.[32]
7-646-2
Anisimova A.[6]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[23]
Keys M.[15]
4-66-26-4
Mboko V.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-17-5
Gibson T.
Jovic I.[18]
6-26-2
Muchova K.[13]
Boulter K.
6-37-5
Bencic B.[12]
Shnaider D.[20]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[27]
6-36-4
Baptiste H.
Svitolina E.[9]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[26]
6-26-2
R64
Shnaider D.[20]
Valentova T.
7-677-63
Pegula J.[5]
Jones F.
6-13-0
Boulter K.
Tauson C.[17]
6-746-41-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Bucsa C.[30]
6-23-2
Bouzkova M.[32]
Jacquemot E.
6-26-2
Linette M.
Swiatek I.[2]
1-67-56-3
Zheng Q.[23]
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[13]
Osorio C.
4-66-27-5
Kostyuk M.[27]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Paolini J.[7]
Townsend T.
6-31-66-2
Cirstea S.
Noskova L.[14]
6-23-66-4
Parks A.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-36-3
Mcnally C.
Wang X.[29]
6-41-66-0
Anisimova A.[6]
Tomljanovic A.
6-15-76-4
Ostapenko J.[25]
Yastremska D.
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[11]
Tagger L.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Osaka N.[16]
7-56-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Li A.
7-656-4
Eala A.[31]
Siegemund L.
6-766-36-3
Cristian J.[34]
Stearns P.
6-47-5
Svitolina E.[9]
Jones E.
6-26-4
Fernandez L.[26]
Selekhmeteva O.
7-613-66-1
Mertens E.[21]
Kalieva E.
6-26-0
Keys M.[15]
Ruse E.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Zakharova A.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
3-66-17-5
Mboko V.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-26-0
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-37-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Kessler M.
6-16-736-1
Bencic B.[12]
Sonmez Z.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
3-66-46-3
Jovic I.[18]
Badosa P.
6-26-1
R128
Tomljanovic A.
Waltert S.
6-36-4
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
6-46-4
Putintseva Y.
Tjen J.
3-66-36-4
Gibson T.
Bejlek S.
6-16-0
Mcnally C.
Masarova R.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Semenistaja D.
6-46-1
Tagger L.
Seidel E.
6-786-47-5
Jones E.
Fruhvirtova L.
3-67-637-64
Cirstea S.
Zhang S.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Williams V.
7-57-5
Sonmez Z.
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-2
Stearns P.
Golubic V.
7-666-4
Li A.
Birrell K.
6-22-66-3
Townsend T.
Sun L.
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Lys E.
6-16-4
Jacquemot E.
Vidmanova D.
6-757-57-5
Linette M.
Gracheva V.
2-66-26-0
Badosa P.
Sasnovich A.
7-56-3
Kalieva E.
Galfi D.
6-36-757-65
Boulter K.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-696-4
Baptiste H.
Maria T.
7-56-2
Kessler M.
Frech M.
2-66-46-2
Yastremska D.
Krueger A.
2-66-47-5
Blinkova A.
Kenin S.
3-66-16-3
Selekhmeteva O.
Arango E.
6-34-66-3
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
7-57-63
Rakhimova K.
Sierra S.
6-16-3
Parks A.
Kraus S.
7-57-64
Valentova T.
Volynets K.
6-26-4
Zakharova A.
Bondar A.
5-76-36-1
Osorio C.
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Brady J.
6-46-2