Mingge Xu vs Daria Kasatkina — Wimbledon Round of 128
Xu M.
Daria Kasatkina defeated Mingge Xu in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 in favor of Kasatkina. Key stats included Kasatkina's 5 service breaks and 83% break point conversion rate, compared to Xu's 2 service breaks and 40% break point conversion rate.
Key context
- Match story: Daria Kasatkina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Kasatkina D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About