Janice Tjen vs Daria KasatkinaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#37WTA
1658ELO
1532Grass ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 16 · 1st on
#68WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Tjen J.
7-6 1-6 4-6
Kasatkina D.
Tjen J.
7141
Kasatkina D.
6662

Daria Kasatkina defeated Janice Tjen in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, coming back from a set down to win 6-7, 6-1, 6-4. Kasatkina hit 4 aces and 8 double faults, while converting 62% of her break points and winning 69% of her first-serve points. Kasatkina won 5 service breaks to Tjen's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
39%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
50%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
53
Break points saved·Dominant
84
21
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tjen J.25%
Kasatkina D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kasatkina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1551
Surface ELO
6.7+133 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1670
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1806
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.73 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.8Won 64% in United Kingdom (44)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
87

Tjen J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw