Iga Swiatek vs Daria KasatkinaDoha Round of 16

Doha · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Swiatek I.
5-7 6-1 6-1
Kasatkina D.
Swiatek I.
5662
Kasatkina D.
7111

Iga Swiatek defeated Daria Kasatkina 5-7 6-1 6-1 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-0
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2022-05-23Roland GarrosSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-02-21DohaR16hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2021-06-21EastbourneR16grassDaria Kasatkina4-6 6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Kasatkina D.
67
Serve
0
98
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
80
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+265 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1757
8.2Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1795
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
1.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.4
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
90

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw