Daria Kasatkina vs Iga SwiatekEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#65WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
grass
#3WTA
2064ELO
1909Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Kasatkina D.
4-6 6-0 6-1
Swiatek I.
Kasatkina D.
4662
Swiatek I.
6011

Daria Kasatkina defeated Iga Swiatek 4-6 6-0 6-1 in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 7–0, but Daria Kasatkina had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Daria Kasatkina claimed a first win over Iga Swiatek in eight meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

07
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR16hardIga Swiatek5-7 6-1 6-1
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-0
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2022-05-23Roland GarrosSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-1
2022-02-21DohaR16hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.3Grass Elo 1666
Surface ELO
7.7+243 Grass Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
89

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°CRain
Wind 33 km/hHumidity 87%