Peyton Stearns vs Daria KasatkinaStrasbourg Round of 16

Strasbourg · WTA · Round of 16
#60WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 19 May 2026 ·
clay
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Stearns P.
1-6 3-6
Kasatkina D.
Stearns P.
130
Kasatkina D.
662

Daria Kasatkina defeated Peyton Stearns 6-1 6-3 in the Strasbourg round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(7) 4-6 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardPeyton Stearns6-1 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayPeyton Stearns7-5 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 3-6 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-1
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1756
Surface ELO
5.3+14 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1795
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.6
Surface form
8.7
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
92

Stearns P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast