Daria Kasatkina vs Peyton StearnsCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Kasatkina D.
6-2 6-1
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.
662
Stearns P.
210

Daria Kasatkina defeated Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-1 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-19StrasbourgR16clayDaria Kasatkina1-6 3-6
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(7) 4-6 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardPeyton Stearns6-1 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayPeyton Stearns7-5 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 3-6 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Stearns P.
0
Serve
34
95
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
90
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1755
5.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1804
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.4
Country comfort
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw