Peyton Stearns vs Daria KasatkinaRoland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 64
#63WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Stearns P.
7-5 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Stearns P.
762
Kasatkina D.
520

Peyton Stearns defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-5 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Peyton Stearns had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Peyton Stearns narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-19StrasbourgR16clayDaria Kasatkina1-6 3-6
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(7) 4-6 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardPeyton Stearns6-1 7-6(3)
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 3-6 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-1
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1756
Surface ELO
5.3+14 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.5
Surface form
6.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
90

Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

R128
Vekic D.
Tsurenko L.
6-5
Zheng Q.[7]
Cornet A.
6-26-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Pliskova K.[20]
3-66-46-2
Rus A.
Kerber A.
6-46-3
Uchijima M.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-16-1
Sherif M.
Yuan Y.[10]
6-16-3
Osaka N.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-14-67-5
Martic P.
Mladenovic K.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[22]
Sonmez Z.
6-26-0
Paquet C.
Shnaider D.[25]
6-36-1
Golubic V.
Krejcikova B.[24]
7-636-4
Stearns P.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-36-787-66
Yastremska D.[30]
Tomljanovic A.
3-66-36-3
Garcia C.[21]
Lys E.
4-67-56-2
Blinkova A.
Cirstea S.[18]
6-33-67-65
Mertens E.[23]
Carle M.
6-37-68
Gracheva V.
Sakkari M.[6]
3-66-46-3
Danilovic O.
Trevisan M.
6-16-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Galfi D.
7-57-63
Kostyuk M.[15]
Pigossi L.
7-56-746-4
Volynets K.
Krunic A.
7-646-2
Vondrousova M.[5]
Masarova R.
6-16-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-22-66-1
Cocciaretto E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
3-66-46-1
Kenin S.
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-2
Wang X.[32]
Bai Z.
7-56-746-3
Osorio C.
Kalinina A.
3-67-624-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Vickery S.
6-36-2
Korpatsch T.
Krueger A.
4-66-47-69
Parry D.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-3
Bogdan A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3
Pera B.
Hibino N.
6-26-0
Rybakina E.[2]
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[19]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Keys M.[19]
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Errani S.
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Boulter K.[26]
4-67-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.
6-16-2
Begu I.
Riera J.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
Udvardy P.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[10]
Frech M.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Sramkova R.
7-666-4
Paolini J.[13]
Saville D.
6-36-4
Fett J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-23-67-5
Wang X.
Niemeier J.
0-66-26-4
Collins D.[11]
Dolehide C.
6-36-4
Tomova V.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-37-65
Wang Y.
Timofeeva M.[24]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.[31]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Cristian J.
6-47-5
Tauson C.[21]
Maria T.
6-26-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Ponchet J.
6-26-0
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Burel C.
7-637-5
Andreescu B.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[4]
Avdeeva J.
6-16-1
Baptiste H.[26]
Day K.
4-66-26-2
Noskova L.[12]
Dart H.
7-636-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kudermetova V.[29]
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Potapova A.[28]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3