Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina — US Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
Peyton Stearns
USA
Peyton Stearns
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2024
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Stearns P.
6-1 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Stearns P.
6772
Kasatkina D.
163–

Peyton Stearns defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 7-6 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16. Peyton Stearns narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Peyton Stearns came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

1–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-19StrasbourgR16clayDaria Kasatkina1-6 3-6
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(7) 4-6 7-5
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayPeyton Stearns7-5 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR128hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 3-6 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-1
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stearns P.Kasatkina D.
34
Serve
0
37
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Stearns P.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stearns P.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Stearns P.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Slight edge
96
89

Stearns P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.
Pegula J.
7-57-5
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.
Navarro E.
6-37-62
Pegula J.
Muchova K.
1-66-46-2
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.
Swiatek I.
6-26-4
Sabalenka A.
Zheng Q.
6-16-2
Navarro E.
Badosa P.
6-27-5
Muchova K.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-4
R16
Pegula J.
Shnaider D.
6-46-2
Swiatek I.
Samsonova L.
6-46-1
Haddad Maia B.
Wozniacki C.
6-23-66-3
Muchova K.
Paolini J.
6-36-3
Navarro E.
Gauff C.
6-34-66-3
Sabalenka A.
Mertens E.
6-26-4
Zheng Q.
Vekic D.
7-624-66-2
Badosa P.
Wang Y.
6-16-2
R32
Wang Y.
Azarenka V.
6-43-66-1
Gauff C.
Svitolina E.
3-66-36-3
Navarro E.
Kostyuk M.
6-44-66-3
Shnaider D.
Errani S.
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.
Kalinskaya A.
6-36-1
Muchova K.
Potapova A.
6-46-2
Paolini J.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Badosa P.
Ruse E.
4-66-17-68
Swiatek I.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-2
Mertens E.
Keys M.
6-757-56-4
Vekic D.
Stearns P.
7-56-4
Zheng Q.
Niemeier J.
6-26-1
Pegula J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-36-3
Wozniacki C.
Ponchet J.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.
Alexandrova E.
2-66-16-2
Samsonova L.
Krueger A.
6-16-1
R64
Ponchet J.
Rybakina E.
W/O
Paolini J.
Pliskova K.
RET
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.
3-67-616-3
Swiatek I.
Shibahara E.
6-06-1
Mertens E.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kostyuk M.
Dart H.
7-6106-1
Navarro E.
Rus A.
6-16-1
Putintseva Y.
Wang X.
6-17-64
Krueger A.
Andreeva M.
6-16-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Cocciaretto E.
5-76-16-2
Muchova K.
Osaka N.
6-37-65
Potapova A.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-4
Shnaider D.
Tauson C.
6-46-4
Badosa P.
Townsend T.
6-37-5
Gauff C.
Maria T.
6-46-0
Ruse E.
Krejcikova B.
6-47-5
Azarenka V.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Niemeier J.
Uchijima M.
6-46-0
Errani S.
Dolehide C.
7-57-5
Zheng Q.
Andreeva E.
6-736-16-2
Svitolina E.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Wozniacki C.
Zarazua R.
6-36-3
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.
6-17-63
Sabalenka A.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-1
Vekic D.
Minnen G.
7-56-1
Pegula J.
Kenin S.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Boulter K.
7-57-5
Alexandrova E.
Jovic I.
4-66-47-5
Wang Y.
Parry D.
6-06-4
Haddad Maia B.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.
Bondar A.
6-26-4
Keys M.
Joint M.
6-46-0
R128
Stearns P.
Tsurenko L.
6-17-5
Minnen G.
Frech M.
7-57-5
Vekic D.
Birrell K.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Sun L.
6-3
Kasatkina D.
Cristian J.
6-26-4
Keys M.
Siniakova K.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.
Hon P.
6-36-3
Lepchenko V.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-1
Parry D.
Wang X.
7-627-65
Wang Y.
Sakkari M.
6-2
Uchijima M.
Korpatsch T.
3-66-36-4
Dolehide C.
Collins D.
1-67-56-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Noel A.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.
Wang Q.
6-27-5
Rus A.
Bogdan A.
6-47-65
Niemeier J.
Yastremska D.
6-46-736-4
Tauson C.
Schmiedlova A.
1-67-656-2
Shnaider D.
Podoroska N.
6-06-1
Boulter K.
Sasnovich A.
5-76-26-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Martic P.
6-36-0
Haddad Maia B.
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-2
Badosa P.
Golubic V.
6-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Davis L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Dart H.
Paquet C.
6-16-2
Bondar A.
Pera B.
6-33-66-3
Swiatek I.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-66
Wang X.
Rodionova A.
3-66-46-1
Pliskova K.
Sherif M.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.
Andreescu B.
6-756-26-4
Krejcikova B.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-636-2
Ruse E.
Grabher J.
6-26-4
Tomljanovic A.
Li A.
6-46-4
Joint M.
Siegemund L.
6-47-5
Azarenka V.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-16-1
Jovic I.
Linette M.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.
Tomova V.
6-746-07-5
Mertens E.
Kudermetova V.
3-66-46-3
Kenin S.
Raducanu E.
6-13-66-4
Putintseva Y.
Noskova L.
7-636-4
Andreeva E.
Yuan Y.
6-37-67
Zheng Q.
Anisimova A.
4-66-46-2
Gauff C.
Gracheva V.
6-26-0
Maria T.
Sierra S.
6-26-3
Kalinina A.
Dodin O.
6-13-66-1
Svitolina E.
Carle M.
3-66-36-4
Shibahara E.
Saville D.
6-34-67-66
Cocciaretto E.
Baindl K.
6-36-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Preston T.
6-26-0
Andreeva M.
Osorio C.
6-27-64
Krueger A.
Zhang S.
0-66-17-5
Bouzkova M.
Lys E.
6-21-67-5
Errani S.
Bucsa C.
3-66-06-4
Pegula J.
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.
Aiava D.
6-17-61
Ponchet J.
Zheng S.
6-46-1
Wozniacki C.
Hibino N.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Garcia C.
6-16-4
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Potapova A.
Fernandez L.
2-66-47-5
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-27-5
Burel C.
Stephens S.
0-67-57-5
Kostyuk M.
Kessler M.
6-26-3