Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria KasatkinaAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
#37WTA
1834ELO
1803Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Cristian J.
6-4 6-0
Kasatkina D.
Cristian J.
662
Kasatkina D.
400

Jaqueline Cristian defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-4 6-0 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. Jaqueline Cristian claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-4
2024-04-01CharlestonQFclayDaria Kasatkina6-7(4) 6-2 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR32hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 2-2 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Cristian J.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cristian J.Kasatkina D.
22
Serve
0
25
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
51%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
78
Break points saved·Even
84
80
Break points won·Dominant
71
100
Deciding sets·Even
91
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+46 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1757
5.2Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
7.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 32%