Daria Kasatkina vs Alina CharaevaVic 125 Quarter-final

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 April 2026
clay
#118WTA
1694ELO
1652Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Kasatkina D.
4-6 6-0 6-4
Charaeva A.
Kasatkina D.
4662
Charaeva A.
6041

Daria Kasatkina defeated Alina Charaeva 4-6 6-0 6-4 in the Vic 125 quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Charaeva A.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
75
Break points won·Clear edge
100
85
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
69
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+118 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1652
6.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
6.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Charaeva A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast