Janice Tjen vs Caty McnallyEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#37WTA
1658ELO
1532Grass ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#73WTA
1817ELO
1707Grass ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWL
Tjen J.
5-7 7-6 3-6
Mcnally C.
Tjen J.
5731
Mcnally C.
7662

Caty Mcnally defeated Janice Tjen in the Round of 32 at Eastbourne, advancing with a 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 victory on grass. Mcnally converted 40% of her break points, securing two service breaks to Tjen's one, and won despite a lower first-serve win percentage and more double faults. Mcnally did not hit an ace, while Tjen had two.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally closed it out in three sets, 7–5 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-25W100 Evansville 1QFhardCaty Mcnally6-2 7-6(3)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
45
Break points saved·Dominant
84
32
Break points won·Slight edge
85
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
75
44
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Tjen J.32%
Mcnally C.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mcnally C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1487
Surface ELO
5.6+46 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1627
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1700
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.02 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
7.28 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
63

Tjen J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw