Elise Mertens vs Maria TimofeevaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#22WTA
1894ELO
1750Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 8 · 4th on
#96WTA
1696ELO
1435Grass ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Mertens E.
2-6 6-3 6-0
Timofeeva M.
Mertens E.
2662
Timofeeva M.
6301

Elise Mertens defeated Maria Timofeeva in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-3, 6-0. Mertens hit two aces and five double faults, winning 60 percent of her first serves and converting 50 percent of her break points. Mertens earned six service breaks to Timofeeva's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
54
Break points saved·Slight edge
65
76
Break points won·Even
97
96
Deciding sets·Even
63
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mertens E.89%
Timofeeva M.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mertens E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+307 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Grass Elo 1441
7.3Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1708
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.64 of last 9 on grass
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.5Won 58% in United Kingdom (36)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
97

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw