Ella Seidel vs Linda Noskova — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Ella Seidel
GER
Ella Seidel
#103WTA
1616ELO
1506Grass ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 7 · 4th on
Linda Noskova
CZE9
Linda Noskova
#8WTA
1976ELO
1844Grass ELO
$6.2MYTD
$11MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Seidel E.
4-6 3-6
Noskova L.
Seidel E.
430
Noskova L.
662

Linda Noskova defeated Ella Seidel in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-4, 6-3 on the grass courts. Noskova hit 8 aces to Seidel's 3 and committed 1 double fault to Seidel's 3. Noskova converted 67% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Seidel's 1.

Around the match

  • “For me, my Japanese heritage means a lot. They say all white at Wimbledon, and I thought it would be really cool to come out in a kimono. I just get inspired by a lot of different things, and for me, one of my favorite movies is Kill Bill. So I really love Lucy Liu's character, O-Ren Ishii, and she comes out in this really iconic white kimono. I always tell people I like to be like a video game character sometimes. I don't want to be myself when I'm playing on the court. And I kind of try to embody her a little.”

    Seidel E.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Linda Noskova closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-22PragueQFclayLinda Noskova6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
Seidel E.Noskova L.
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
5.3
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Seidel E.Noskova L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
86
Break points won·Clear edge
70
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Seidel E.5%
Noskova L.95%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noskova L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Seidel E.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Noskova L.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.6Grass Elo 1527
Surface ELO
9.4+348 Grass Elo edge
0.3Overall Elo 1623
ELO gap
9.7Overall Elo 1996
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.55 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Seidel E.Noskova L.
Freshness·Clear edge
95
81

Seidel E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Noskova L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw