Linda Noskova vs Diane Parry — Berlin Round of 16

Berlin · WTA · Round of 16
Linda Noskova
CZE
Linda Noskova
#13WTA
1948ELO
1776Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.7MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 18 June 2026 ·
grass
Diane Parry
FRA
Diane Parry
#55WTA
1720ELO
1658Grass ELO
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWW
Noskova L.
vs
Parry D.

Linda Noskova faces Diane Parry in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. Linda Noskova is the paper favourite — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage — but Diane Parry rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Noskova L.78%
Parry D.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Noskova L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Noskova L.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Parry D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+118 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Grass Elo 1658
6.7Overall Elo 1948
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1720
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.78 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Noskova L.Stable
Parry D.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
Noskova L.Parry D.
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Noskova L.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Parry D.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Noskova L.Parry D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
84
Break points won·Dominant
92
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Noskova L.Parry D.
53
Serve
—
32
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Noskova L.Parry D.
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Noskova L.: 21 days rest · Parry D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26TallinnR32hardLinda Noskova2-6 6-3 6-4