Linda Noskova vs Renata ZarazuaBerlin Round of 32

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
#13WTA
1948ELO
1776Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.7MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#77WTA
1661ELO
1550Grass ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLLLLL
Noskova L.
vs
Zarazua R.

Linda Noskova faces Renata Zarazua in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Linda Noskova holds the paper edge — ranked #13, a roughly 230-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Noskova L.88%
Zarazua R.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noskova L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8+226 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Grass Elo 1550
7.6Overall Elo 1948
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1661
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
74%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
40%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Noskova L.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
47
Break points saved·Dominant
97
57
Break points won·Even
92
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Noskova L.: 20 days rest · Zarazua R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final