Sonay Kartal vs Ella Seidel — Auckland Round of 16

Auckland · WTA · Round of 16
Sonay Kartal
GBR
Sonay Kartal
#122WTA
1874ELO
1833Hard ELO
24 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Ella Seidel
GER
Ella Seidel
#99WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Kartal S.
6-3 6-1
Seidel E.
Kartal S.
662
Seidel E.
310

Sonay Kartal defeated Ella Seidel 6-3 6-1 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ella Seidel came in ranked #99.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kartal S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Seidel E.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kartal S.

Serve advantage — Kartal S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kartal S.Seidel E.
59
Serve
20
37
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kartal S.Seidel E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kartal S.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Seidel E.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.5+219 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1614
7.7Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kartal S.Seidel E.
Freshness·
—
98

Seidel E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw

Final
Svitolina E.[1]
Wang X.[7]
6-37-66
Semi-finals
Svitolina E.[1]
Jovic I.[3]
7-656-2
Wang X.[7]
Eala A.[4]
5-77-56-4
Quarter-finals
Wang X.[7]
Jones F.
6-44-3
Svitolina E.[1]
Kartal S.
6-46-727-65
Eala A.[4]
Linette M.[5]
6-36-2
Jovic I.[3]
Costoulas S.
6-27-66
R16
Jones F.
Kraus S.
1-66-46-1
Eala A.[4]
Marcinko P.
6-06-2
Jovic I.[3]
Bejlek S.
7-636-4
Costoulas S.
Quevedo K.
6-26-0
Linette M.[5]
Cocciaretto E.
7-52-66-3
Kartal S.
Seidel E.
6-36-1
Wang X.[7]
Zarazua R.
7-56-4
Svitolina E.[1]
Boulter K.
7-56-4
R32
Svitolina E.[1]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Kartal S.
Tjen J.[6]
6-16-746-3
Bejlek S.
Udvardy P.
7-56-1
Costoulas S.
Osuigwe W.
6-43-66-1
Boulter K.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-3
Kraus S.
Grabher J.
6-36-3
Jones F.
Navarro E.[2]
7-52-66-4
Jovic I.[3]
Knutson G.
4-66-16-0
Zarazua R.
Stephens S.
7-54-66-2
Quevedo K.
Stearns P.[8]
6-27-5
Eala A.[4]
Vekic D.
4-66-46-4
Cocciaretto E.
Parks A.
6-27-5
Wang X.[7]
Mcnally C.
2-66-37-5
Seidel E.
Barry M.
6-26-1
Marcinko P.
Osorio C.
6-40-67-62
Linette M.[5]
Williams V.
6-44-66-2