Elina Svitolina vs Daria SnigurWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#9WTA
2070ELO
1859Grass ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 3rd on
#45WTA
1781ELO
1646Grass ELO
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Svitolina E.
5-7 2-6
Snigur D.
Svitolina E.
520
Snigur D.
762

Daria Snigur defeated Elina Svitolina in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 7-5, 6-2. Snigur converted 75% of her break points and secured six service breaks, while Svitolina converted 50% of her break points and secured three service breaks. Snigur did not hit an ace or a double fault, while Svitolina hit one ace and four double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Snigur closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
56
Break points saved·Even
83
80
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
38
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Svitolina E.87%
Snigur D.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+205 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Grass Elo 1640
8.7Overall Elo 2067
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1773
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.7Won 62% in United Kingdom (37)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
82

Svitolina E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Snigur D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw