Iga Swiatek vs Elina SvitolinaRome Semi-final

Rome · WTA · Semi-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 14 May 2026 ·
clay
#8WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Swiatek I.
4-6 6-2 2-6
Svitolina E.
Swiatek I.
4621
Svitolina E.
6262

Elina Svitolina defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 2-6 6-2 in the Rome semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32, but Elina Svitolina had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Elina Svitolina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Elina Svitolina closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsQFhardElina Svitolina6-2 4-6 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayIga Swiatek6-1 7-5
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardIga Swiatek7-6(5) 6-3
2024-02-19DubaiR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-4
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassElina Svitolina7-5 6-7(5) 6-2
2021-05-10RomeQFclayIga Swiatek6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+14 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1995
5.5Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 2070
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.6
Surface form
8.3
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.4
Country comfort
6.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
98

Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Svitolina E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Swiatek I.
Svitolina E.
4-66-22-6