Iga Swiatek vs Elina SvitolinaMiami Round of 16

Miami · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Swiatek I.
7-6 6-3
Svitolina E.
Swiatek I.
7762
Svitolina E.
6530

Iga Swiatek defeated Elina Svitolina 7-6 6-3 in the Miami round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 16. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-14RomeSFclayElina Svitolina4-6 6-2 2-6
2026-03-04Indian WellsQFhardElina Svitolina6-2 4-6 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayIga Swiatek6-1 7-5
2024-02-19DubaiR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-4
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassElina Svitolina7-5 6-7(5) 6-2
2021-05-10RomeQFclayIga Swiatek6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Svitolina E.
67
Serve
48
98
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+24 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1997
5.5Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 2070
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.5
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.6
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw