Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Dayana Yastremska
UKR
Dayana Yastremska
#67WTA
1792ELO
1673Grass ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
ESP
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
#52WTA
1721ELO
1632Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLLLW
Yastremska D.
vs
Bouzas Maneiro J.

Dayana Yastremska faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro holds the paper edge — ranked #52, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC
Yastremska D.65%
Bouzas Maneiro J.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yastremska D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yastremska D.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+41 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1632
5.9Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1721
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Yastremska D.Stable
Bouzas Maneiro J.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Yastremska D.Bouzas Maneiro J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Yastremska D.Bouzas Maneiro J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
52
Break points saved·Dominant
89
53
Break points won·Even
92
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Yastremska D.Bouzas Maneiro J.
Freshness·Slight edge
96
86

Yastremska D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardJessica Bouzas Maneiro7-5 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-1 2-6 6-3
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
S. Williams
Joint M.
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
Begu I.
Swan K.
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
Seidel E.
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
Boulter K.
Grant T.
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kessler M.
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
Pegula J.[4]
Sorribes Tormo S.
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
Maria T.
Jovic I.[16]
Bencic B.[11]
Wang X.
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
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