Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Leylah FernandezCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#52WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-3 6-3
Fernandez L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
662
Fernandez L.
330

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-3 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, defending last year's quarter-final, but Jessica Bouzas Maneiro had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzas Maneiro J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bouzas Maneiro J.Fernandez L.
15
Serve
60
63
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (65 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
87
Break points saved·Dominant
53
95
Break points won·Even
95
95
Deciding sets·Even
86
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
9
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1664
Surface ELO
7.0+121 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1721
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1805
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Bouzas Maneiro J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw