Mariam Bolkvadze vs Ashlyn KruegerWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#545WTA
1479ELO
1397Grass ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLLWW
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
#102WTA
1779ELO
1711Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWL
Bolkvadze M.
vs
Krueger A.

Mariam Bolkvadze faces Ashlyn Krueger in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Ashlyn Krueger holds the paper edge — ranked #102, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 310-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Bolkvadze M.11%
Krueger A.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krueger A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Grass Elo 1397
Surface ELO
8.9+314 Grass Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1779
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.49 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

10 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.0
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolkvadze M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bolkvadze M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
50
77
Break points saved·Dominant
17
87
Break points won·Even
89
85
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
79

Bolkvadze M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final