Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn KruegerWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#77WTA
1773ELO
1640Grass ELO
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWLW
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
grass
#102WTA
1779ELO
1711Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWW
Snigur D.
vs
Krueger A.

Daria Snigur faces Ashlyn Krueger in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Ashlyn Krueger brings the better recent grass form (8 of 8).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC
Snigur D.41%
Krueger A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krueger A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1640
Surface ELO
5.9+71 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1779
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

37 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Snigur D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Snigur D.

Serve advantage — Snigur D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
87
Break points won·Slight edge
93
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
92
Tiebreaks·
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
67

Snigur D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final