Sofia Kenin vs Ashlyn KruegerMadrid Round of 128

Madrid · WTA · Round of 128
#105WTA
1694ELO
1655Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
#102WTA
1791ELO
1678Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Kenin S.
7-6 6-4
Krueger A.
Kenin S.
7762
Krueger A.
6240

Sofia Kenin defeated Ashlyn Krueger 7-6 6-4 in the Madrid round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #102, defending last year's round of 128. Sofia Kenin extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardAshlyn Krueger5-7 6-4 6-2
2025-02-09DohaR64hardSofia Kenin6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Krueger A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Even
85
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
73
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.9Clay Elo 1655
Surface ELO
4.1+23 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1791
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
80

Kenin S.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Krueger A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw