Elina Svitolina vs Ashlyn KruegerIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Svitolina E.
6-4 6-2
Krueger A.
Svitolina E.
662
Krueger A.
420

Elina Svitolina defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-4 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Elina Svitolina extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardElina Svitolina6-1 6-7(8) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Serve advantage — Svitolina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svitolina E.Krueger A.
48
Serve
37
57
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
5.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+274 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1723
8.8Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1791
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.2
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
83

Svitolina E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw