Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
Alexandra Eala
PHI29
Alexandra Eala
#20WTA
1895ELO
1795Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 1st on
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#5WTA
2064ELO
1909Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Eala A.
7-6 6-2
Swiatek I.
Eala A.
762
Swiatek I.
620

Alexandra Eala defeated Iga Swiatek in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, winning 7-6, 6-2 on the grass courts. Eala hit 4 aces and committed 0 double faults, while Swiatek hit 1 ace and 5 double faults. Eala converted 71% of her break points and broke Swiatek's serve 5 times, compared to Swiatek's 3 breaks.

Around the match

  • “It sounds super impactful. It's an amazing thing for me to be able to do that for my country, but I guess it's also very emotional every time I'm able to pass a new step.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “For someone who grew up in the Philippines, this is everything. Maybe for someone like Iga, who has won so many Slams, or someone like Serena or Venus, this may seem small. But for someone like me, this is everything.”

    Eala A.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “I don't care anymore about the results. I need to work from the beginning and try to just get my tennis better.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR64clayIga Swiatek4-6 6-4 6-2
2025-03-18MiamiQFhardAlexandra Eala6-2 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Eala A.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Eala A.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
97
Break points saved·Dominant
12
87
Break points won·Clear edge
83
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
96
Tiebreaks·
—
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Eala A.20%
Swiatek I.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Grass Elo 1822
Surface ELO
6.4+114 Grass Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1911
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 2080
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.97 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.7Won 78% in United Kingdom (27)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Eala A.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Slight edge
68
63

Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw