Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek — Miami Quarter-final
Miami · WTA · Quarter-final
#28WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
POL2#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Eala A.6-2 7-5
Swiatek I.
Eala A.
672
Swiatek I.
250
Alexandra Eala defeated Iga Swiatek 6-2 7-5 in the Miami quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #8, defending last year's round of 16. Alexandra Eala extended the head-to-head to 2–1.
Key context
- Match story: Alexandra Eala closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Alexandra Eala | 7.11-6.9 6-2 |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | R64 | clay | Iga Swiatek | 4-6 6-4 6-2 |
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Swiatek I.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Eala A.Swiatek I.
20
Serve
67
63
Return
98
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
77
100
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
98
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1833
Surface ELO7.7+189 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap7.9Overall Elo 2064
5.0
H2H5.0
4.9
Surface form7.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts6.0
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
84
92
Eala A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%
Draw
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[9]
6-27-5
Paolini J.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Eala A.
Swiatek I.[2]
6-27-5
Pegula J.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-46-736-2
R16
Eala A.
Badosa P.[10]
W/O
Zheng Q.[9]
Krueger A.
6-27-63
Paolini J.[6]
Osaka N.
3-66-46-4
Linette M.
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Svitolina E.[22]
7-656-3
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-16-3
Pegula J.[4]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Collins D.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[31]
4-3
Raducanu E.
Kessler M.
6-13-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Ruse E.
6-10-0
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
7-663-66-4
Anisimova A.[17]
Andreeva M.[11]
7-652-66-3
Collins D.[14]
Masarova R.
6-43-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Mertens E.[27]
7-626-1
Svitolina E.[22]
Muchova K.[15]
6-23-66-2
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.[32]
6-736-27-62
Badosa P.[10]
Tauson C.[20]
6-37-63
Eala A.
Keys M.[5]
6-46-2
Linette M.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Krueger A.
Fernandez L.[26]
6-17-5
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[28]
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[9]
Townsend T.
6-17-63
Kostyuk M.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
R64
Muchova K.[15]
Azarenka V.
6-00-0
Townsend T.
Putintseva Y.[19]
7-621-66-1
Andreeva M.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-06-2
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-06-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Navarro E.[8]
7-662-67-63
Paolini J.[6]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[20]
Grabher J.
6-47-5
Eala A.
Ostapenko J.[25]
7-627-5
Svitolina E.[22]
Bencic B.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.[32]
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[9]
Davis L.
6-17-5
Kostyuk M.[23]
Birrell K.
7-54-66-3
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-656-2
Anisimova A.[17]
Sherif M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[5]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Fernandez L.[26]
Parks A.
7-616-3
Collins D.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tomova V.
6-36-0
Sakkari M.[28]
Bronzetti L.
6-35-76-4
Ruse E.
Frech M.[29]
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Kasatkina D.[12]
3-66-47-5
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[21]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[27]
Stearns P.
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-27-5
Badosa P.[10]
Mboko V.
7-51-67-63
Pegula J.[4]
Pera B.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-47-60
Kessler M.
Noskova L.[30]
2-67-57-64
Jabeur O.[31]
Siniakova K.
6-47-67
Krueger A.
Rybakina E.[7]
6-42-66-4
R128
Parks A.
Gracheva V.
3-67-606-3
Bronzetti L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-16-756-2
Kudermetova V.
Wang X.
6-27-65
Townsend T.
Li A.
3-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Lamens S.
6-46-3
Blinkova A.
Rakhimova K.
4-66-36-2
Raducanu E.
Ishii S.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Grant T.
6-46-4
Mboko V.
Osorio C.
7-55-76-3
Stearns P.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Bencic B.
Yastremska D.
6-41-67-5
Azarenka V.
Kalinina A.
6-36-1
Garcia C.
Bondar A.
6-07-65
Sherif M.
Sun L.
7-51-66-4
Baptiste H.
Danilovic O.
6-36-756-1
Krueger A.
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Cirstea S.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-65
Kenin S.
Kvitova P.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Mcnally C.
6-32-66-3
Davis L.
Ito A.
6-43-66-4
Masarova R.
Minnen G.
6-746-47-5
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
3-66-37-65
Pera B.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kessler M.
Bouzkova M.
6-42-66-4
Siniakova K.
Yuan Y.
6-22-67-64
Fruhvirtova L.
Liu C.
7-54-66-3
Linette M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-636-2
Eala A.
Volynets K.
6-37-63
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-16-746-4
Sramkova R.
Stefanini L.
3-66-16-3
Osaka N.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-46-3