Diane Parry vs Anna KalinskayaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#49WTA
1753ELO
1687Grass ELO
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#20WTA
1915ELO
1727Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWWWL
Parry D.
vs
Kalinskaya A.

Diane Parry faces Anna Kalinskaya in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Anna Kalinskaya holds the paper edge — ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC
Parry D.26%
Kalinskaya A.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalinskaya A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1687
Surface ELO
5.5+40 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1753
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1915
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parry D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
88
Break points saved·Even
84
88
Break points won·Dominant
66
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
89
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
88

Parry D.: 8 days rest · 6 matches (14d) · Kalinskaya A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR64clayAnna Kalinskaya7-6(4) 6-4
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final